NFL Week 15 odds, picks, best bets: Rams destroy Commanders, Packers over Buccaneers

What a weird week in the . of the threw three first-half touchdowns against the , the were blown out by the and the pulled off the biggest upset of the year against the . Up 14 points with three minutes remaining in the game, it looked like the Dolphins were on their way to covering the spread.

Unfortunately, that ended up being one of my three losses in my top five picks. I’m swearing off the for good, as they continue to disappoint. They haven’t covered the number since Oct.

30! Then, the couldn’t cover in overtime, since obviously they don’t kick extra points in the extra period. We did call the upsetting the and the winning by more than three points against the . We also had the , and pulling off upsets straight-up as well.

So, pretty solid week (9-5-1 ATS, 10-5 SU). Here’s a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.

is 2-1 against the spread, so why would I now fade him at home against a team making a quarterback change? Maybe is better than how has fared over the past few weeks, but will that be enough? I like how the Bengals have been playing. Browning has the highest completion percentage in any player’s first three career starts in NFL history (79. 3%), Cincinnati may have found a new weapon in and the defense has been impressive as well.

I think Brian Flores may have a couple of surprises for Browning, but I want to ride with him as opposed to Mullens. Bengals -3 Bengals 17-13 It feels like the Buccaneers have been on the road for the past month. This will be their sixth road game in their last eight contests! The Packers lost to the on “Monday Night Football,” which didn’t really shock me since Green Bay can be so inconsistent.

But, I’m feeling them at home this week. is one passing touchdown away from tying for the most passing touchdowns through 15 career starts by a Packer since 1950, which is pretty cool. Four of the Packers’ six wins this season have come at home, so I’ll take them with the number this low.

Packers -3 Packers 24-20 The Titans are of course coming off of an emotional victory over the Dolphins, but despite all the emotions for Tennessee on this short week, I like the Titans in this spot. The Texans looked terrible last week against the Jets with no and a that left the game early due to injury. was Houston’s leading receiver with three catches for 35 yards, and the Texans put up season-lows in points scored, total yards and third down conversions in their largest loss of the season.

Now, we don’t even know if will even suit up due to a concussion, while Collins, , , and missed practice on Wednesday due to injuries. Tennessee is 4-1 at home this year, and wearing the OILERS THROWBACKS. You know? The jerseys that Texans fans want to wear but they actually belong to the Titans franchise? Then, there’s also this stat which actually blew my mind: Mind-blowing: Titans RB Derrick Henry has 4 games with 200+ rushing yds & 2 rushing TDs vs.

the Texans. That’s more than any RB has vs. all teams in NFL history.

Henry has 6 total games with 200+ rushing yards and 2 TDs. No one else has reached 4. Titans -3 Titans 20-14 The Rams lost to the Ravens last week in overtime in the rain, but man, their offense impressed me against Baltimore’s vaunted defense.

threw for 294 yards and three touchdowns, ran for 114 yards, caught eight passes for 115 yards and a touchdown and rookie phenom caught five passes for 84 yards. I do have major questions about this Rams defense as a whole, but they usually do a solid job against lesser teams. The Commanders are coming off of their bye week, but Washington is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 contests following the bye.

offense is capable of putting up points, but the Commanders have lost three straight games by double digits, and their defense has given up 45 points in two straight games. The Rams are seven points better than the Commanders. Rams -6.

5 Rams 33-23 I’m actually not surprised the Bills are favored over the Cowboys this week. I think they are underrated. Plus, all three of Dallas’ losses this season have come on the road.

I picked the Bills as road dogs to upset the reigning champions last week, and now, I’m following a similar trajectory. Give me the Cowboys as road dogs in Week 15. This is a great chance for to build on his MVP case.

Over the last eight games, he’s 7-1, averaging 305. 5 passing yards per game and has thrown 23 touchdowns compared to two interceptions. It’s the sixth instance of a quarterback throwing 23+ touchdowns and two or fewer interceptions in an eight-game span within a season.

Four of the other five won MVP. While the Bills did register a statement win over the , it wasn’t a dominant performance by any means. The Bills were out-gained on offense, their leading receiver was a running back, they didn’t score a touchdown on their final seven drives of the game and they recorded just one sack.

Give me the Cowboys. Cowboys +2 Cowboys 27-24 (+3) 10-6 over Colts (-1. 5) 26-20 over Steelers Lions (-4) 24-18 over Broncos 10-9 over (+3) (+3) 20-13 over Browns Dolphins 23-20 over Jets (+8.

5) (-6) 27-17 over Giants Chiefs (-8. 5) 27-14 over Patriots (-12. 5) 31-18 over Ravens 27-24 over Jaguars (+3.

5) 24-21 over (+4).