Cooper Kupp runs with the ball against the San Francisco 49ers. AP Photo/Jeff Lewis Insider is predicting the outcomes of every NFL game this season. Our Week 4 picks went a solid 9-6-1 against the spread.
Week 5, we’re backing the Packers, Rams, and Ravens to cover the number. Home team has the asterisk. LAST WEEK: 9-6-1OVERALL: 35-27-2Denver Broncos* (-3.
5) over Indianapolis ColtsRussell Wilson warms up ahead of a game against the Las Vegas Raiders. AP Photo/Rick ScuteriThe Broncos have already played in primetime twice in the first four weeks of the season, and have two more primetime games in Weeks 5 and 6. Denver should be used to playing at odd hours by now.
This game is pretty gross, and it is tough to trust Denver, whose two wins have not looked very convincing. But it’s even tougher to take this Colts team on the road without their best player in Jonathan Taylor. Green Bay Packers (-8) over New York GiantsAaron Rodgers looks to pass against the New England Patriots.
AP Photo/Kamil KrzaczynskiLast week the Saints and Vikings delivered a barnburner to their London crowd, playing possibly the most exciting game in the history of the NFL’s international series. It feels unlikely that such lightning will strike twice. Someone is bound to have a tough case of jetlag this week, and after the Packers nearly lost to a third-string quarterback in overtime last week, it feels like a good time for a bounce-back game.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+14) over Buffalo Bills*Kenny Pickett celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the New York Jets. AP Photo/Gene J. PuskarThis is a brutal game to bet.
Kenny Pickett is making the first start of his NFL career on the road against a team that might win the Super Bowl this year. While he looked good enough stepping up in relief of Mitch Trubisky last week, he also threw three interceptions in two quarters against a team that is far worse than the Bills will be on Sunday. Still, 14 points is a lot in the NFL, and sometimes even a game that is dominated by one side entirely ends up with a final score of 24-13.
Take the points or stay away. Cleveland Browns* (+2. 5) over Los Angeles ChargersNick Chubb makes a run against the New York Jets.
AP Photo/Ron SchwaneLast week the Chargers gave up 131 rushing yards to rookie Texans running back Dameon Pierce on just 14 carries. This week the Chargers face the rushing tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. It’s about as good a matchup as the Browns offense could hope for.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers* (-9. 5) over Atlanta FalconsTom Brady calls out his protection ahead of a play against the Kansas City Chiefs. AP Photo/Alex MenendezAfter sputtering for the first three weeks of the season, the Buccaneers offense finally found something last Sunday, putting up 31 points against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Unfortunately, the game that saw their offense wake up also saw their defense fall asleep, leading to a 41-31 loss. This is the week the Buccaneers put it all together and emerge once again as a top contender to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Seattle Seahawks (+6) over New Orleans Saints*Geno Smith celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Detroit Lions.
AP Photo/Duane BurlesonGeno Smith has been better than anyone in Seattle could have hoped. Through four games, he’s played at an elite level. The Saints are fresh off a trip to London and are still unsure if Jameis Winston or Andy Dalton will be starting at quarterback.
Six points feels like a lot to give up on a team that might be jet-lagged. Detroit Lions (+3. 5) over New England Patriots*T.
J. Hockenson celebrates a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks. AP Photo/Rick OsentoskiThere are too many injuries on both teams here to really project this game.
I wouldn’t make a real play here until just before kickoff, when you know for sure who is playing and who is staying off the field. Since I do not have that luxury in this column, I will close my eyes and take the points. Miami Dolphins (-3.
5) over New York Jets*Tyreek Hill runs with the ball against the Cincinnati Bengals. AP Photo/Joshua A. BickelBackup quarterbacks are having quite a year so far, with Cooper Rush and Jimmy Garoppolo both already stepping up in a big way to help their respective teams.
Teddy Bridgewater could do the same in Miami. He’s a pretty well-known commodity. He can move the ball just fine, and with as many weapons as the Dolphins have at their disposal, Bridgewater should be able to do enough to beat the Jets.
Minnesota Vikings* (-7. 5) over Chicago BearsKirk Cousins hands the ball off to Dalvin Cook during a game against the New Orleans Saints. AP Photo/Frank AugsteinThe Chicago Bears are averaging just 16 points per game this season, second worst in the entire NFL.
I want to love Justin Fields, but despite a few brief signs of life last weekend, the Bears offense still looks pretty lost. Justin Jefferson is due to give another team a torching. Houston Texans (+7) over Jacksonville Jaguars*Dameon Pierce runs down the sideline against the Los Angeles Chargers.
AP Photo/David J. PhillipThe Jaguars are better than many expected them to be this year, but I’m still not sure that they’re ready to be touchdown favorites over a divisional opponent. I can’t recall the last time the Jaguars were touchdown favorites over anyone — maybe at some point during the Blake Bortles era.
Regardless, it has been a while, and the Texans have enough fight in them to at least keep things close. Tennessee Titans (-1. 5) over Washington Commanders*Derrick Henry scores a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts.
AP Foto/AJ MastDerrick Henry is starting to get on a bit of a roll, having scored in three straight games and fresh off a 114-yard performance against the Colts. Henry will be the best player on the field this week, and should be in for another great day. San Francisco 49ers (-6.
5) over Carolina Panthers*Jeff Wilson Jr. runs free against the Los Angeles Rams. AP Photo/Godofredo A.
VásquezThe Panthers have absolutely nothing going for them right now. While their past two losses were relatively close games, the 49ers defense they will face on Sunday should be the best they’ve gone up against by a good margin. It’s tough to see them getting to 20 points against San Francisco.
Arizona Cardinals* (+5) over Philadelphia EaglesKyler Murray runs out of bounds against the Carolina Panthers. AP Photo/Rusty JonesIn terms of vibes, it’s tough to draw a sharper contrast between two teams than the Eagles and Cardinals. The Eagles are firing on all cylinders, spreading love in the locker room, and fighting as one.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals head coach and quarterback are openly sparring in the middle of a game, having just spent an entire offseason also fighting about petty matters. Still, it feels like this is a few too many points to spot the Eagles on the road. They have to stumble at some point.
Los Angeles Rams* (-5. 5) over Dallas CowboysCooper Kupp runs with the ball against the San Francisco 49ers. AP Photo/Jeff LewisCooper Rush is going to lose a game eventually.
The man is not magic, despite what his latest box scores might make you believe. Jalen Ramsey is going to have at least one, maybe two interceptions in this game, and the Rams roll. Baltimore Ravens* (-3) over Cincinnati BengalsLamar Jackson warms up ahead of a game against the Buffalo Bills.
AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr. The Ravens are 2-2, but have only trailed for a collective 14 seconds of football so far this year. Last year, the Bengals absolutely pantsed the Ravens twice, putting up 41 points both times they met.
While it’s possible Cinci simply has Baltimore’s number, I like to think that in front of the home crowd in primetime, the Ravens find a way to get revenge on the rival that embarrassed them last year. Las Vegas Raiders (+7) over Kansas City Chiefs*Davante Adams and Derek Carr look on from the sidelines during a game against the Denver Broncos. AP Photo/Abbie ParrFull disclosure: this is a bad pick.
I fall for this play every year. The Chiefs have won eight of their last nine games against the Raiders. Of those eight wins, just one has been by less than a touchdown.
I like to believe divisional games are going to be close, even if history insists on telling me otherwise. And yet here I am, once again taking the Raiders because it feels like a touchdown is just a little too much to give to Derek Carr and Davante Adams. Maybe they’re due.
Read the original article on Insider.
From: insider
URL: https://www.insider.com/nfl-week-5-betting-picks-against-the-spread-2022-10
